Development of risk models for the prediction of new or worsening acute kidney injury on or during hospital admission: a cohort and nested study

Bedford M, Stevens P, Coulton S, Billings J, Farr M, Wheeler T, Kalli M, Mottishaw T, Farmer C
Record ID 32016000325
English
Authors' objectives: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common clinical problem with significant morbidity and mortality. All hospitalised patients are at risk. AKI is often preventable and reversible; however, the 2009 National Confidential Enquiry into Patient Outcome and Death highlighted systematic failings of identification and management, and recommended risk assessment of all emergency admissions. The author's objectives are to develop three predictive models to stratify the risk of (1) AKI on arrival in hospital; (2) developing AKI during admission; and (3) worsening AKI if already present; and also to (4) develop a clinical algorithm for patients admitted to hospital and explore effective methods of delivery of this information at the point of care.
Authors' recommendations: This study provides valuable evidence of relationships between key variables and AKI. We have developed a clinical algorithm and risk models for risk assessment within the first 24 hours of hospital admission. However, the study has its limitations, and further analysis and testing, including continuous modelling, non-linear modelling and interaction exploration, may further refine the models. The qualitative study has highlighted the complexity regarding the implementation and delivery of alerting systems in clinical practice.
Details
Project Status: Completed
Year Published: 2016
English language abstract: An English language summary is available
Publication Type: Not Assigned
Country: England, United Kingdom
MeSH Terms
  • Humans
  • Acute Kidney Injury
  • Hospitalization
  • Risk
  • Risk Assessment
Contact
Organisation Name: NIHR Health Services and Delivery Research programme
Contact Address: NIHR Journals Library, National Institute for Health and Care Research, Evaluation, Trials and Studies Coordinating Centre, Alpha House, University of Southampton Science Park, Southampton SO16 7NS, UK
Contact Name: journals.library@nihr.ac.uk
Contact Email: journals.library@nihr.ac.uk
Copyright: Queen's Printer and Controller of HMSO
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